We’re back today with another exciting NBA slate featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpoint our best player props for tonight’s NBA slate. (3/18)
1. JALEN JOHNSON OVER 8.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+104)
Odds: +104
Probability: 58%
Projection: 9.9
Edge: 9%
Game: Hawks vs Mavericks (8:30PM EST)
Our Basketball Forever betting bot has identified the best NBA player prop bet for today’s NBA matchups. The best player bet takes place in the Hawks vs Mavericks matchup – with Jalen Johnson showing value in the total assists made prop market. Our model has narrowed down Jalen Johnson Over 8.5 Total Assists as the best player bet for today. Tonight, our model is projecting Johnson to finish tonight’s matchup with a total of 9.9 assists made. Johnson has exceeded this line in 3/5 of his most recent matchups, showing 13/12/9/8/7 assists. With the Nuggets letting up 28 assists per game, your model predicts Johnson will have ample time to exceed this line.
Our model recommends placing a wager on Jalen Johnson Over 8.5 Total Assists at +104 odds and an attractive 9% edge, making this our best player bet of the day.
2. AUSTIN REAVES OVER 4.5 TOTAL REBOUNDS (+134)
Odds: +134
Probability: 51%
Projection: 4.7
Edge: 8.3%
Game: Lakers vs Rockets (9:30PM EST)
The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Lakers vs Rockets game, with Austin Reaves showing value in the total rebounds made prop market.
So far throughout the season, Reaves has been able to average a total of 4.8 assists per game. Reaves has been able to exceed this line in 3/5 of his most recent matchups, showing 3/7/5/7/4 rebounds made in each. Our model is projecting Reaves to end tonight’s game with a total of 4.7 rebounds made, exceeding tonight’s line. Our model is predicting Barnes to
be crashing glass and grabbing the ball, leading to assists made and for him to cover this number tonight.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Austin Reaves Over 4.5 Total Rebounds in tonight’s game, which gives us a 8.3% edge on the +134 odds.
3. JAYLEN BROWN OVER 5.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+126)
Odds: +126
Probability: 51%
Projection: 5.7
Edge: 6.8%
Game: Warriors vs Celtics (7PM EST)
According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s NBA slate features Jaylen Brown Over 5.5 Total Assists in the Warriors vs Celtics matchup. Brown has been able to exceed this line in 3/5 of his most recent matchups, showing 6/3/7/7/8 assists made. Our model predicts that after exceeding this lime in 3/5 of his most recent matchups, he’ll continue this trend by moving the ball to the best scoring matchup, leading to assists made. In their first matchup against the Warriors, Brown was able to average a total of 13 assists made, giving our model a high degree of confidence in this wager. Our model projecting a total of 5.7 assists made by the end of the game, we believe this is a solid wager to have for tonight.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Jaylen Brown Over 5.5 Total Assists, with an edge of 6.8% at +126 odds.
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